Did Madrid deserve three points v Barca? Stats-based answer

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Did Madrid deserve three points v Barca? Stats-based answer

Barcelona succumbed to a late 3-2 defeat at Santiago Bernabeu. The game will be remembered for the refereeing controversy.

Real Madrid scored their first goal from a very questionable penalty, Lamine Yamal's first-half goal wasn't counted because of the absence of goal-line technology in La Liga, and a penalty on Camavinga's coming in contact with Lamal in the Whites' box wasn't given.

Yet referees are referees, there is no point talking about that. Putting them aside, did Madrid deserve the three points based on stats?

The Whites created significantly more big chances than Barcelona (five against two). They also had more shots on target (eight to six).

Looking at expected goals (xG), it looks like Ancelotti's men deserved their victory. Their xG is 2.41 while Barca managed only 1.33.

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AuthorAleksei BlokhinSourceSofascore
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